Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.571313 0.648477 0.730711 0.824706 0.928997 1.040991 1.170179
2025-10-12 0.464116 0.573574 0.698737 0.851731 1.032926 1.239876 1.493278
2025-10-19 0.372749 0.499349 0.653990 0.855032 1.107539 1.412083 1.804834
2025-10-26 0.302788 0.438001 0.613750 0.855625 1.176056 1.581777 2.129417
2025-11-02 0.248834 0.387302 0.578139 0.855021 1.240099 1.749437 2.465289
2025-11-09 0.207036 0.345578 0.547376 0.854888 1.302027 1.917235 2.813627
2025-11-16 0.175167 0.312493 0.523215 0.859283 1.368245 2.093909 3.185874
2025-11-23 0.146862 0.279701 0.494132 0.851380 1.413678 2.242566 3.527686
2025-11-30 0.128556 0.260025 0.482275 0.867382 1.494648 2.446820 3.962032
2025-12-07 0.109150 0.234805 0.457412 0.858611 1.534628 2.590730 4.314440
2025-12-14 0.095549 0.217749 0.443839 0.866261 1.600241 2.776875 4.741138
2025-12-21 0.081138 0.196370 0.419346 0.851553 1.626211 2.900578 5.076281
2025-12-28 0.074317 0.189511 0.421187 0.884544 1.737065 3.170185 5.663000
2026-01-04 0.068142 0.182921 0.422611 0.916696 1.848798 3.448206 6.279700
2026-01-11 0.060136 0.170653 0.410940 0.922396 1.913025 3.649731 6.781064
2026-01-18 0.052904 0.158737 0.398253 0.924408 1.970035 3.841645 7.276188
2026-01-25 0.046517 0.147567 0.385514 0.924631 2.023090 4.029067 7.772916
2026-02-01 0.040998 0.137453 0.373616 0.925037 2.075967 4.218552 8.282347
2026-02-08 0.036484 0.129075 0.364463 0.930090 2.137911 4.427433 8.835948
2026-02-15 0.031806 0.119130 0.350071 0.921844 2.171882 4.585795 9.305982
2026-02-22 0.029005 0.114170 0.347212 0.939124 2.259323 4.848943 9.978674
2026-03-01 0.025312 0.105490 0.333566 0.929815 2.289808 5.004415 10.459471
2026-03-08 0.022798 0.100062 0.327642 0.938066 2.358218 5.236676 11.094089